This article calculates how inflation has affected income and costs over the past 20 years to demonstrate to your readers how they should take this into account when determining how much they will need to retire.
Without the benefit of a crystal ball, itâs impossible to determine exactly how much one person will need to meet their individual retirement needs. We often hear that weâre living much longer so the amount we retire on must last a longer distance. However, what about the value of your retirement funds? How will inflation impact on your savings, particularly if youâre still being highly conservative and holding a large portion of your portfolio in cash waiting for the economy to âsettle downâ?
Now and then
A good place to start is by looking back at how inflation has affected the cost of living in Australia. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has a handy calculator on its website (www.rba.gov.au) that tells us how the cost of a âbasket of goods and servicesâ has changed over a chosen timeframe. Itâs a great eye-opener. Type in âinflation calculatorâ.
How much?!
One hundred dollars worth of goods purchased in 1974 would now cost an astounding $765! Youâre right, 40 years of retirement is not the norm (and we hope Australia never experiences 10% inflation like it did in the 70s), so letâs look at the value of $100 in a more realistic retirement timeframe of 20 years.
One hundred dollars spent in 1994 grew to $170 in 2014. On first glance that doesnât seem as astounding BUT when you realise that the increase over that time was 70%, you might be a bit more concerned. Over the 20 year period this averages out to just 2.7% per year, which doesnât sound too bad and is within the RBAâs target – but letâs go back to your retirement fund investments.
Your retirement savings
With âbonusâ interest cash accounts currently earning anything from 0.01% to 4.0% pa interest, and term deposits about the same, apply the current inflation rate of 1.3% to this and youâll realise that your cash is not earning very much; in fact in some accounts itâs losing value. This is why itâs so important to ensure your super is invested for growth that takes into account inflation in the lead up to and during your retirement.
Every investment must meet your own individual needs, now and into the future. If you would like to learn more about how to manage inflation in your retirement, speak to us. Iâm sorry we donât have a crystal ball, but we do have a good understanding of how all this works!